Tuesday Night's Weather Report & Tropical Update (while Charles sleeps)

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ShipMaven

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Good evening, @ddicts. Would you believe we are STILL reporting on Fay?


Rain Works Up The Appalachians

Tom Moore, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
8:38 p.m. ET 8/26/2008


Northeast

[size=large]Remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will produce heavy rain northward from the Virginias to Pennsylvania.

Localized flash flooding and isolated tornadoes may occur.
[/size]

Parts of the Middle Atlantic, closer to the East Coast will see scattered showers and thunderstorms, as well.


Much of Upstate New York and New England will enjoy a pleasant Wednesday, however.

Highs are forecast to range from the mid-60s in northern Maine to around 80 in central Virginia.


South

Parts of the South will see scattered showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday.

The most likely areas will include the eastern Carolinas, Florida Peninsula and southern Texas.

[size=large]All interests along the Gulf Coast should keep a close eye on Hurricane Gustav over the next few days.
[/size]

High temperatures will range from the upper 60s in the Appalachians to the upper 90s around Dallas-Ft. Worth.

Florida will be quite warm and humid.


Midwest

Thunderstorms will be scattered on Wednesday ahead of a cold front from Lake Superior to the central Plains.

A few of the Plains storms may be strong to severe.

Parts of southeast Ohio and eastern Kentucky will pick up some rain from remnants of Tropical Storm Fay.


High temperatures will range from the mid-70s in the far north to the low 90s in western Nebraska.

Most of the Ohio Valley will see highs in the 80s.


West

Lingering tropical moisture will lead to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms over parts of Arizona, New Mexico south-central Colorado on Wednesday.


Across the Northwest, a front associated with a Pacific storm will trigger a few showers over western Washington, northwest Oregon, extreme eastern Washington, the Panhandle of Idaho and northwest Montana.

Portions of Montana will be quite windy.


Highs will vary range from the 50s in the Cascade Mountains and Glacier National Park to over 100 in portions of the Mojave and Sonoran Deserts.

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/current/curwx_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/forecast/map_qpf_36hrfcst_4namus_enus_600x405.jpg>

<img src=

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/web/forecast/us_wxlo1_large_usen_600.jpg>



<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/travel/trvlthun_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/special/severe_us_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/web/radar/us_radar_plus_usen.jpg>

FAY REMNANTS
<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_spectrop04_ltst_6nh_enus_600x405.jpg>
<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_spectrop05_ltst_6nh_enus_600x405.jpg>

===========================

The NHC updates on Gustav are found on Cruise Q&A.

Gustav Dumps On Haiti

Tom Moore, and Mark Avery, Lead Meteorologists, The Weather Channel
11:20 p.m. ET 8/26/2008


Gustav, with 70 mph sustained winds, made landfall on the southwest peninsula of Haiti Tuesday afternoon. Torrential rain continues to fall over Haiti. At least one death was reported due to a landslide. Gustav weakened to a tropical storm from its time over Haiti, but now that it's moving back over water, is expected to reintensify to hurricane strength.

[snip]

As of 11 p.m. EDT, the center of Gustav was located about 85 miles west of Port Au Prince, Haiti, or about 150 miles southeast of Guantanamo, Cuba. Gustav was moving toward the west-northwest at 8 mph. A turn toward the west is expected on Wednesday, with a return to a west-northwest motion expected on Thursday. Gustav is expected to move close to or between Jamaica and southeastern Cuba during this timeframe.

[size=large]Gustav may emerge into the Gulf of Mexico by the weekend and could reach the US Gulf Coast by Labor Day. All US interests along the US Gulf Coast should pay particular attention to this potentially dangerous storm !![/size]

[snip]

Hurricane warnings remains in effect for the Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, and Granma. Hurricane warnings are also in effect for Haiti from the southern border with the Dominican Republic northward to Le Mole St. Nicholas.

Hurricane watches are posted for Haiti from Le Mole St. Nicholas to the northern border with the Dominican Republic; the Cuban provinces of Las Tunas and Holguin; Jamaica; and the Cayman Islands.

Elsewhere, the remnants of Fay continue to inundate much of the Southeast and southern Appalachians. The low that was formerly Fay is centered in southeastern Tennessee and is tracking to the northeast. [size=large]Flood watches remain posted for the eastern half of Tennessee and portions of the western Carolinas. Isolated tornadoes remain a threat.[/size]

In the open Atlantic Ocean, two other areas are being monitored for tropical cyclone development. One is located several hundred miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands, and the other is just southwest of the Cape Verde Islands

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_tropprjpath07_ltst_5nhato_enus_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_huralrt07_ltst_5nhato_enus_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_spectrop01_ltst_6nh_enus_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/sat/tropsat_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/sat/caribsat_600x405.jpg>
 
WTNT31 KWNH 271504
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 48 FOR REMNANTS OF FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

...REMNANTS OF FAY CROSSING THE APPALACHIANS...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH
AND SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. FLOOD WARNINGS
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF GEORGIA AND FLORIDA.

AT 1100 AM EDT...15Z...THE WEAK SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH FAY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.6 WEST...OR
ABOUT 43 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LONDON KENTUCKY.

THE SURFACE LOW IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. THE
REMNANTS OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN
ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 800 AM EDT

...ALABAMA...
CLAYHATCHEE 5.9 E 15.27
HIGHLAND HOME 12.74
VALLEY 0.4 NNW 11.87
WETUMPKA 9.9 NNE 10.81
MEADOWBROOK 1.7 NE 10.50
LAKE PURDY 3.6 ENE 10.37
CLIO 0.2 SSW 10.27
CALERA 9.73
TROY 9.57
BIRMINGHAM INTL 7.28

...FLORIDA...

MELBOURNE/WINDOVER FARMS 27.65
CAPE CANAVERAL /USAF FIELD MILL 21/ 22.83
SEBASTIAN /SCRIPPS SPACE COAST/ 22.25
PALM SHORES 1.4 W 21.44
PALM BAY 1.0 NE 21.00
VIERA 20.75
HILLIARD 5.4 NW 19.70
MELBOURNE WFO 19.62
CAPE CANAVERAL/COCOA BEACH 19.01
SANFORD 2 ESE 18.27
ST MARKS 4 ESE 17.67
JACKSONVILLE/INTL APT 12.07
MONTICELLO 3.6 WSW 11.90
VERO BEACH/MUNI APT 11.34
WACISSA 1.1 SW 10.80
DAYTONA BEACH/REGIONAL APT 8.99
GAINESVILLE/REGIONAL APT 8.25
NAPLES/MUNICIPAL APT 7.96
FT LAUDERDALE/HOLLYWOOD 7.12

...GEORGIA...

THOMASVILLE 27.50
NEWTON 11 SW 13.50
COOLIDGE 3.2 SSW 12.03
ELMODEL 11.80
VALDOSTA 9 N 11.67
BLAKELY 10.85
MORGAN 5 NW 10.83
MILFORD 10.73
TIGER 1.7 S 10.00
IRON CITY 6 NE 9.54
ALBANY 1 N 8.68
FORT GAINES 13 ENE 8.48
BLUFFTON 0.2 N 8.35
FORT BENNING/COLUMBUS 6.77
SAVANNAH/HUNTER AAF 4.87
PEACHTREE CITY/ATL WFO 2.56

...KENTUCKY...

SCOTTSVILLE 5.5 NE 1.90
EUBANK 4.7 NE 1.80
LONDON-CORBIN ARPT 1.78
LEXINGTON/BLUE GRASS FLD 1.78
BRONSTON 2.7 WSW 1.75
ALBANY 1.62
DIXON 1.14
TAYLORSVILLE 1.00

...LOUISIANA...

BATON ROUGE/SHERWOOD 4.49
MILLERVILLE 4.38
ZACHARY 4.20
SHENANDOAH 0.8 W 4.02
INNISWOLD 4 E 4.01
WALKER 1.1 N 3.93
DENHAM SPRINGS 3.91
GREENWELL SPRINGS 2 SW 3.79
VIDALIA 3.30
JACKSON 3.26
RESERVE 3.20
NEW ORLEANS/MSY 1.46

...MISSISSIPPI...

ACKERMAN 3 SE 7.87
NOXAPATER 1 N 6.80
DAMASCUS 1 SE 6.27
STATE UNIVERSITY 5.50
STARKVILLE 2.5 ENE 5.47
GHOLSON 8 W 5.12
CRAWFORD 5 W 5.07
TOPTON 4.88
PHILADELPHIA 5 N 4.87
BROOKSVILLE 2 NNE 4.59
TOOMSUBA 5 SE 4.53
PASCAGOULA 4.52
MERIDIAN/KEY FLD 4.45

...NORTH CAROLINA...

BURNSVILLE 9.4 SE 11.18
HARRISBURG 0.8 S 10.84
CONCORD 4.9 SW 10.30
CHARLOTTE 5.90
ASHEVILLE 5.32
HICKORY 2.90
MONROE ARPT 2.85
WINSTON-SALEM 1.21

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

LAKE WYLIE 2.3 SW 9.00
LOWRYS 3.6 ENE 7.66
SALEM 3.1 WNW 7.56
FORT MILL 3.5 ENE 6.86
CLEVELAND 8 WSW 6.24
BEAUFORT 6.11
MARIETTA 1.8 SW 5.09
MEGGETT 1.8 W 4.97
SALEM 0.1 SE 4.65
WALTERBORO 2 SW 4.33
HARDEEVILLE 13 S 4.25
CHARLESTON/MUNI APT 4.07
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW 3.96
WALHALLA 5 NW 3.94
COLUMBIA/METRO ARPT 3.10
GREENVILLE/SPARTANBURG 3.03

...TENNESSEE...

DUNLAP 3.1 NW 8.84
RED BANK 3.4 NNE 7.87
SIGNAL MTN 1.2 WSW 7.75
GRAYSVILLE 0.1 NW 7.43
FAYETTEVILLE 8.8 S 6.08
CARTHAGE 0.1 W 5.30
COLUMBIA 0.9 SE 5.05
EAGLEVILLE 1 SE 4.39
SMYRNA 4.5 SSW 4.24
CHATTANOOGA/LOVELL FLD ASOS 3.75
KNOXVILLE 1.74

...VIRGINIA...

WOOLWINE 0.4 SW 3.27
CAVE SPRINGS 2.4 SSW 3.00
HILLSVILLE 8.9 SE 2.46
ROCKY MOUNT 3.6 W 2.12
ROANOKE/MUNI APT 2.05

THE REMNANTS OF FAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING OVER PARTS OF NORTH
CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND WESTERN MARYLAND.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CAROLINA...NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHERN VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...36.5 NORTH...83.6
WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...10 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON FAY.

HEDGE

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 27/1500Z 36.5N 83.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 28/0000Z 37.8N 82.6W...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
 
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