Thursday Night's Weather Report & Tropical Update (while Charles sleeps)

  • Thread starter Thread starter ShipMaven
  • Start date Start date
S

ShipMaven

Guest
Good evening, @ddicts. Fay is an absolute nuisance! The NHC Advisories continue to be found in Cruise Q&A.

I know some of our @ddicts reside in the areas affected, or about to be affected, by Fay. Stay safe - I pray you do not have serious damage.


Gulf Coast Flooding Likely

Tom Moore, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
8:45 p.m. ET 8/21/2008


South

Tropical Storm Fay will track westward along or near the Gulf Coast over the next couple of days. The current track may include northern Florida Peninsula, the Florida Panhandle, Mobile Bay and possibly the southeast corner of Mississippi.

Heavy, flooding, locally-foot-plus rains are possible across northern Florida, southernmost Georgia and southern Alabama. Flash flood watches remain in effect.

Meanwhile areas from the western Gulf Coast up through the Mississippi Valley will see scattered thunderstorms as another weather system lifts to the northeast.

Meanwhile, a stationary front will set up over the weekend from Kansas-Oklahoma border to near the Virginia-North Carolina border, providing another focus for scattered thunderstorms.


Clouds and rain will keep temperatures down, especially across the Deep South with highs slightly below average or below average, mostly in the upper 70s and 80s. Parts of Texas will see highs in the 90s, however.


Midwest

A pesky area of low pressure aloft has finally weakened and is moving northeastward. The result will be scattered thunderstorms from Michigan to Missouri and western Kentucky Friday.

Elsewhere, a potent cold front will swing through the northern Plains, resulting in a few strong to severe thunderstorms from Minnesota to Nebraska.


Highs Friday will range from the 70s in North Dakota to the mid 90s in western Kansas and near 90 in the Ohio Valley.

On Saturday, the cold front will move through the Great Lakes and mid-Mississippi Valley, preceded by scattered thunderstorms.

Highs Saturday will range from the 60s in northern Minnesota to near 90 in southwest Kansas and the eastern Ohio Valley.


Northeast

One of the last tastes of summer will be felt across the Northeast over the next couple of days. The region will enjoy dry conditions and quite warm temperatures.

Highs through Saturday will be mostly in the 80s, although an onshore flow over the coastal Mid-Atlantic and sea breezes along coastal New England could keep some locations in the upper 70s.

A cold front will approach the region on Sunday with thunderstorms moving into western sections of the region by the end of the day. Next week will begin with cooler temperatures.


West

Look for mostly dry conditions across the West on Friday. The only exceptions may be some isolated thunderstorms over higher elevations of Colorado.

The Pacific Northwest will dry out after an unusual onslaught of heavy rain. Temperatures will remain cool, however.

Highs Friday will range from the 70s in Washington, Montana and most of Idaho to between 100 and 117 in the Desert Southwest.

On Saturday, any thunderstorms will be confined to Colorado as highs rebound into the 80s and low-to-mid 90s across the Northwest and continue between 100 and 120 in the Desert Southwest.

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/current/curwx_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/forecast/map_qpf_36hrfcst_4namus_enus_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://image.weather.com/images/maps/forecast/forheat_ind_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/web/forecast/us_wxlo1_large_usen_600.jpg>

<img src=http://maps.wunderground.com/data/severe/current_severe_nostatefarm.gif>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/travel/trvlthun_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/special/severe_us_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/web/radar/us_radar_plus_usen.jpg>

==================================

TROPICAL UPDATE


Fay Crawls Westward

Tom Moore, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
8:08 p.m. ET 8/21/2008


Tropical Storm Fay made its third landfall near Flagler Beach, Florida and is inching slowly westward.

Fay continues to produce torrential downpours, making the flood threat the primary concern. Locations on Florida's eastern coast from Cocoa Beach to Melbourne to Fort Pierce have picked up 8 to 26 inches of rain already. In fact, a report of 26.2" of rain has been received near the Melbourne, Fla. area. This has resulted in numerous reports of flooding around the area.


[snip]

Radar shows Fay continues to produce moderate to heavy rainfall across the east coast of Florida.

Gusty winds can also be expected along the northeast Florida Coast, where wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are possible There were already reports of wind gusts up to 56 mph at Orlando. These winds will bring down a few trees and power lines, with local power outages expected.

Inland over north central and southern Florida, winds of 20-30 mph, with locally higher gusts continue. Increased onshore flow over coastal Georgia and South Carolina will also bring gusty winds there, as well as increased surf and a danger of rip currents. High surf will extend to coastal South Carolina where waves could reach 6 to 8 feet.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for parts of the central Atlantic coast of Florida and the Georgia Coast.


Fay is forecast to track slowly west-northwest over the next several days; [snip]. As Fay moves along this path heavy rain is likely across northern Florida and southern Georgia through Friday. Locations in the threat area for heavy rain include Gainesville, Ocala, Jacksonville, and Tallahassee. Rainfall totals could exceed a foot in some locations.

There are currently flood and flash flood watches posted for parts of Florida, South Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama
[snip]

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_spectrop05_ltst_6nh_enus_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_spectrop04_ltst_6nh_enus_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_spectrop10_ltst_6nh_enus_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/tropical/map_tropalrt06_ltst_5nhato_enus_600x405.jpg>

<img src=http://i.imwx.com/images/sat/caribsat_600x405.jpg>
 
Back
Top