Hurricane Paloma Advisories

C

Charles

Guest
Hi folks,

Paloma has been pounding Cuba and is now making life difficult in the Bahamas.

The 4 AM advisory

HURRICANE PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
400 AM EST SUN NOV 09 2008

...PALOMA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER EAST-CENTRAL CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...SAN
SALVADOR...ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...
45 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON MONDAY. THE CENTER OF PALOMA SHOULD BE NEAR THE NORTH
COAST OF CUBA THIS AFTERNOON AND BE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY
MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. PALOMA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...EVEN AFTER THE CENTER OF
PALOMA MOVES OFFSHORE DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. PALOMA IS
FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...AND DEGENERATE TO A
WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA SHOULD DIMINISH
TODAY.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES OVER EASTERN CUBA...WHERE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES ARE STILL POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

REPEATING THE 400 AM EST POSITION...21.3 N...77.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
AM EST.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

<img src=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT17/refresh/AL1708W_sm2+gif/085514W_sm.gif>

<img src=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT17/refresh/AL1708R_sm2+gif/085514R_sm.gif>

<img src=http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200817_sat.jpg>

<img src=
 
C

Charles

Guest
This is the 10 AM advisory

TROPICAL STORM PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
1000 AM EST SUN NOV 09 2008

...PALOMA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER CUBA...

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAHAMAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PALOMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST OR NEAR
CAMAGUEY CUBA.

PALOMA IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4
KM/HR...AND A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF PALOMA SHOULD BE NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA LATER TODAY
AND BE APPROACHING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY...AND PALOMA IS
FORECAST TO DEGENERATE TO A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BY MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM EST POSITION...21.2 N...77.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
H

Hooked

Guest
Keep it down there!
The local forecasters down here are saying it's gonna make a left turn after Cuba and die out because the low pressure system that just came through here is gonna shear it apart.
 
C

Charles

Guest
Yes, they expect Paloma to be torn apart by wind shear. I think you'll be ok, Hooked.


c
 
S

ShipMaven

Guest
000
WTNT32 KNHC 092035
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
400 PM EST SUN NOV 09 2008

...PALOMA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER CUBA...

AT 400 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PALOMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA.

PALOMA IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/HR...AND A SLOW GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...PALOMA OR ITS REMNANT SHOULD BE NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND PALOMA SHOULD DEGENERATE INTO A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA TONIGHT OR EARLY TOMORROW.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS.

REPEATING THE 400 PM EST POSITION...21.2 N...78.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 1 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH
 
S

ShipMaven

Guest
000
WTNT32 KNHC 100237
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
1000 PM EST SUN NOV 09 2008

...PALOMA DISSIPATING INLAND OVER EAST-CENTRAL CUBA...
...FINAL ADVISORY BEING ISSUED...

AT 1000 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION PALOMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 70 KM...NORTH OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 180
MILES...285 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE REMNANTS OF PALOMA SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

THE REMNANTS OF PALOMA MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM EST POSITION...22.0 N...78.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 


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