Friday Night's Weather Report & Tropical Update (while Charles sleeps)

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Good evening, @ddicts. Fay just won't go away, is back over water and is now targeting the Gulf Coast. :( The endless NHC updates are found on Cruise Q&A.


Fay Targets Gulf Coast

Tom Moore, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
8:38 p.m. ET 8/22/2008


South

Fay will track westward along the Gulf Coast this weekend.

Flooding rains and gusty winds will accompany the storm. There is still some question whether Fay will continue on westward through Louisiana or turn a bit northward early next week.


Meanwhile fading remnants of an upper-level disturbance stuck back over the southern Plains will pop more isolated-to-widely-scattered thunderstorms each day across the south-central states into Monday.

Saturday through Tuesday, a cold front will stall from the Kansas-Oklahoma border to near the Virginia-North Carolina border, resulting in scattered showers and thunderstorms.


High temperatures will be mostly 80s but some 90s, especially in Texas, and some humid upper 70s under the clouds and heaviest rains from Fay.


Midwest

A cold front will continue eastward through the Great Lakes, the mid-Mississippi Valley and Kansas on Saturday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop ahead of the front.

High temperatures will range from the cool upper 50s and 60s in northern Minnesota to the low 90s in southwest Kansas and the Ohio Valley.

On Sunday the front will stretch from the eastern Great Lakes down through the Ohio Valley. Look for showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front.

Monday will be mostly dry around the region but it unclear whether remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will meander northward up through the Ohio Valley.


Northeast

A fine summer Saturday is in store for the Northeast as they enjoy mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures.

Look for highs across the region mostly in the 80s, although an onshore flow over the coastal Mid-Atlantic and sea breezes along coastal New England could keep some locations in the upper 70s.

Changes are in store for Sunday and Sunday night as a cold front moves across the region, accompanied by a few thunderstorms.

Highs will be in the cooler 70s behind the cold front but near 90 in the southern Mid-Atlantic Monday just ahead of the front.


West

Except for some isolated thunderstorms over the higher elevations of Colorado and New Mexico, most of the West will be dry on Saturday.

The Northwest will warm quickly into the 80s and low 90s while the Desert Southwest sees highs well over 100 degrees.

Another cold front will sweep across the Northwest later Sunday and Monday, bringing showers to parts of Washington and Oregon.

High temperatures will approach 100 over eastern Montana by Monday, ahead of the cold front.

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TROPICAL UPDATE

Fay Back Into The Water

Tom Moore, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
8:27 p.m. ET 8/22/2008


Tropical Storm Fay has moved into the northeastern Gulf and is likely to make a fourth landfall northeast of Apalachicola on Saturday morning. Fay could potentially make two more landfalls in the Florida Panhandle, unless it skims along the Gulf Coast. The torrential rain, flooding, and gusty winds will gradually expand westward from southern South Carolina, southern Georgia, and Florida into southern Alabama while beginning to diminish along the Southeast Coast.

This general west to west-northwest motion is expected to continue through the weekend, which could bring Fay into southeast Mississippi by Sunday.

Bands of heavy rain continue to make flooding the foremost concern. Locations on Florida's eastern coast from Cocoa Beach to Melbourne to Fort Pierce have picked up 8 to 33 inches of rain already. Rainfall rates have been as high as 3 inches per hour in the Jacksonville area. There has also been tornado damage in the Jacksonville area. There have been numerous reports of flooding across parts of Florida over the past few days, as well as coastal issues with high surf along parts of the Georgia and South Carolina coasts.

Heavy rain is ongoing over parts of Florida, southern Georgia and southern South Carolina. The threat for heavy rain bands and flooding will continue to impact parts of South Carolina, southern Georgia, and eventually southeastern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle right into the weekend.


Winds gusted between 55 and 65 mph Friday morning along the coastal areas of northeastern Florida and Georgia. Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph will gradually relax across cosatal areas. The threat for high surf and rip currents will remain however along the beaches.

Despite the weakening of Fay, gusty winds of 30-40 mph, especially in heavier rain bands, are expanding northward through parts of Georgia, and southeastern Alabama through the day. Wind and surf will also increase along the beaches of northwestern Florida and the Florida Panhandle as Fay's circulation moves closer. New tropical storm watches and warnings have been posted for these beaches. See current tropical storm watches and warnings.

[snip]

Elsewhere in the tropical Atlantic, a low pressure circulation was located around 350 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. While there are currently no signs of strengthening, environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable in the next few days, as the low moves slowly west-northwest; it will continue to be monitored. Rain should spread into the Windward and Leeward Islands by early Saturday, however.

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Good morning Mary Ann and Pucci. The furbabies are all excited because it is not raining at the moment. Perhaps we will see more clear periods today. We are under a tornado watch until 3pm, but at least the winds are down.
 
KK - we're currently 91 F with 24% humidity (high for us). I'll be happy to share. :grin

Bev - glad the worst of the storm has passed you now. I'm certain the furbabies must be ready to PLAY.

Hooked - the amounts of rainfall from Fay are incredible. Yes, the southeast needed rain, but not all at once! :(
 
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